Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 211.243837 246.841758 288.271845 340.464814 405.044122 483.095999 585.746615
2025-07-27 163.737356 207.439309 263.887258 343.668102 456.073558 612.859809 855.728982
2025-08-03 139.493092 186.656632 252.115264 352.588541 508.604020 752.153291 1184.563255
2025-08-10 120.875867 168.488446 238.269597 352.498134 544.333792 873.425786 1532.281141
2025-08-17 108.214830 156.128110 229.691796 357.079298 586.618514 1016.461858 1983.631150
2025-08-24 97.243521 144.350803 219.538953 356.128831 617.846366 1148.174010 2479.843657
2025-08-31 88.510899 134.718371 211.053502 355.856772 649.496153 1290.768085 3085.676476
2025-09-07 82.438689 128.521832 207.225983 363.002058 697.372353 1486.206218 3967.708188
2025-09-14 74.004613 117.299654 192.971916 347.301123 692.364480 1553.998745 4517.787619
2025-09-21 68.861243 111.169280 187.048304 347.121554 722.182640 1723.260689 5562.397042
2025-09-28 64.755382 106.403153 182.986432 349.992339 760.004838 1931.529414 6976.814834
2025-10-05 63.442871 106.520976 188.206892 373.870530 857.611644 2368.843172 10005.956564
2025-10-12 61.937272 106.531420 194.071816 402.710362 985.585850 3015.325388 15647.714877
2025-10-19 58.122271 101.759032 189.647996 406.739187 1046.714209 3477.028446 21559.172390
2025-10-26 55.309788 98.609445 188.157910 417.765002 1134.556216 4129.375644 31654.945167
2025-11-02 51.958866 93.998120 182.822128 417.653339 1186.717180 4676.065371 43708.416656
2025-11-09 49.361448 90.649993 179.841243 423.320041 1262.440179 5430.761192 64307.405681
2025-11-16 46.580224 86.631591 174.789056 422.144026 1313.400034 6116.711464 91315.321190
2025-11-23 44.119792 83.056526 170.323338 421.807440 1368.683011 6913.525963 133496.114557
2025-11-30 42.393599 80.899984 168.979153 430.652132 1467.453393 8174.251364 222142.529666
2025-12-07 39.328611 75.534678 159.156231 411.229741 1435.003565 8394.047940 274738.492375
2025-12-14 37.499454 72.773735 155.530925 411.007884 1491.935023 9483.251214 437571.661931
2025-12-21 35.995381 70.615135 153.180764 414.555486 1570.045781 10945.156811 776305.119544